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June 17, 2024

Illinois Governor releases numbers – The Devil in the the details?

By Kirk Allen & John Kraft

On April 4, 2020

Illinois (ECWd) –

Ventilators in use by COVID-19 Patients in Illinois as of April 3, 2020 totals 666.

With 935 COVID-19 patients in ICU according to April 3, 2020, update, 71.23% are on ventilators.

That 666 ventilator figure reflects 26.19% of the total ventilators available, according to the information released on April 3, 2020.  Since this is the first time the state has reported figures on ventilator use we have nothing to compare it to in order to know if progress is being made with measures being implemented.   With ventilators being the primary concern nationwide, we will have to watch this number closely going forward to better understand the impact this virus is having in Illinois in relation to the protective measures put in place.

Conflicting numbers from the state:

What attributed to the increase of almost 2,000 (1,966) Hospital beds in Illinois in 10 days?

What attributed to the increase of 89 ICU beds in 10 days?  How many of those beds on March 24, 2020, were COVID-19 patients?

What do the numbers tell us?

According to the Illinois Department of Public Health, as of April 3rd, 2020, Illinois has 8,904 confirmed positive cases of COVID-19 with 2,984 (33.351302785265049%) being hospitalized, of which 935 (10.50089847259659%  ) is in ICU, and 210 deaths (2.35849056603774%)

Are other parts of the country seeing 33.51% of positive cases needing to be hospitalized, 10% being placed in ICU, and a death rate of 2.35% dying from this virus?

According to reports out of New York City Health Department, as of April 2, 2020, they had 49,707 cases of COVID-19 with 9,680 (19.47411833343392%), hospitalized, of which 2,240 (4.50640754823264%), were in ICU and 1,562 deaths (3.14241454925866%).

Why the dramatic differences in the numbers between Illinois and New York City?

  • Illinois Hospitalization for positive cases – 33.35%
  • New York City Hospitalization for positive cases – 19.47%
  • Illinois ICU hospitalization for positive cases – 10.05%
  • New York City ICU Hospitalizations for positive case – 4.51%
  • Illinois Death rate from COVID-19 cases – 2.35%
  • New York City death rate from COVID-19 cases – 3.14%

It would appear from the numbers, understanding this is a very basic snapshot comparison of data provided, Illinois medical providers are hospitalizing a higher percentage of positive cases, which appears to point to a higher survivability rate than those of New York City.

In order to see what type of progress is being made from both the medical procedures and the social distancing recommendations, these same figures will have to be reviewed each day to identify if real progress is being made.

Looking at the graph at the bottom of the IDPH web site, select ALL and you will get an idea of what ongoing testing is showing in Illinois.  Using the above percentage figures above it should give people an idea of where we stand in Illinois as it relates to this virus.

Statewide Hospitalization info from Illinois:

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  • Gene
    Posted at 20:41h, 04 April Reply

    Why would you compare The entire state of Illinois versus New York City? Also on April 2nd… the state of New York has over 100,000 cases…. which of course would change the results of your numbers…. please get your numbers and facts straight before you put out an article like this…. please stay safe!

    • Kirk Allen
      Posted at 07:43h, 05 April Reply

      Because New York City has the same approximate population as the Chicago, Cook County and surrounding 6 county population. The numbers and facts are straight. If you think they are not, please share what number is not accurate?

  • Julie Quinn
    Posted at 01:13h, 05 April Reply

    Hospitals are supposed to have “surge capacity.” I imagine that is why the increase in beds and ICU beds over the last few weeks. See

  • Kirk Allen
    Posted at 07:59h, 05 April Reply

    New York City has 8.6 Million People. Cook County, Will County, Lake County, Dupage County, Kane County, McHenry County, and Kankakee County, have 8.43 Million people, which is where the vast majority of our Illinois cases are at. Regardless of any population comparison, the article is about comparing positive case vs hospitalizations. It does not matter where in the country you look at you can figure out the percentage of hospitalizations for positive cases.

  • Mags
    Posted at 08:48h, 05 April Reply

    Interesting article

    These numbers just do not add up. We have a large extended family that live throughout the Chicago suburbs – none of them have gotten sick with this or have been tested. None of our circle of friends know anyone who has been tested.

    I am not saying there are not cases of this occurring, but do not believe the numbers are what they are telling us or reporting.

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