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November 2, 2025

Illinois – The numbers don’t add up

By Kirk Allen & John Kraft

On May 3, 2020

Illinois (ECWd) -,

For weeks the people have been demanding answers to questions related to the COVID-19 death numbers.  Even more, questions were raised when it became evident that you could be eaten by an alligator and labeled as a COVID-19 death if you happened to test positive.

At the 14:33 Mark in the video link below is a question that discloses the State’s position on what is a COVID-19 death.

https://multimedia.illinois.gov/ioci_vid/Archive/2020/WebpageOnly/GOV/041920-COVID19Update/Gov-coronavirus-041920.mp4

IDPH reported Illinois had 2,457 deaths as of May 1, 2020.

According to the CDC report, COVID-19 deaths and others reported to the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) by the jurisdiction of occurrence,  Illinois has 1,296 COVID-19 deaths as of May 1, 2020, not 2,457 which IDPH is reporting for May 1, 2020.  Why are Illinois citizens being told a number that is approximately 48% higher than what the CDC is reporting they are told?  The CDC does point out that “Death counts are delayed and may differ from other published sources (see Technical Notes). Counts will be updated periodically. Additional information will be added to this site as available.” We will monitor this information to see if a 48% jump is reported by CDC.

Jurisdiction of occurrence?

Reading the CDC report and reading the plain language of the report, it would appear the COVID-19 deaths reported to them by Illinois (jurisdiction of occurrence), does not match what that same jurisdiction of occurrence is telling the people of Illinois.

As if the COVID-19 death reporting is not concerning enough, CDC reporting of deaths in Illinois from pneumonia (non-COVID-19) is reported to be 2,724 which is just over 47% more than those by COVID-19. Who knew pneumonia was killing more people in Illinois this year than COVID-19?

Of interest with what appears to be a numbers game being played on the people is some claims made by the Governor’s attorney in the Darren Bailey case in Clay County.

Mr. Verticchio, the Governor’s attorney, in his efforts to paint a picture of major concern, told the Judge the following:

“Jasper County, 42 cases, less than 10,000 residents in the county. As a result, it suffers one of the highest per capita infection rates in Illinois.(see transcript)

After crunching numbers, this appears to be either the old adage “The Sky Is Falling” routine or an indicator of how weak the Governor’s case really is.

Jasper County has a population of 9,611 with 42 COVID-19 cases when this exchange took place.  While the per capita argument is fairly accurate, the rest of the story must be told to keep things in perspective.   The numbers of infected in Jasper equate to .043 of the population.  The number of deaths at the time was 5, all from a nursing home from what was said in court.  That equates to .0052 of the population.

Here is where this information is so important.

Both nationally and at the state level, there has been an emphasis on flattening the curve.  They have been looking at what is called the doubling rate as an indicator.  How many days does it take for the cases to double, or deaths to double?  That is the measure to see how well we are doing managing the spread.  According to the Governor and the so-called experts on this new China virus, only when that curve flattens will he talk about opening up parts of the state.

Jasper County doubling numbers? 

Virtually nonexistent. On the day of Court, April 27th, 2020 when the attorney threw out the panic numbers, there was a reported 42 cases.  As of May 3, 2020, they have increased that number by 3 for a total of 45 cases.  The death numbers are still at 5.  In Clay County, where the court hearing took place, nothing has changed in weeks, 2 cases.

If the concern was doubling as the Governor has insisted, why on earth would his attorney point to a per capita comparison for Jasper, a county next door to Clay, the resident county of the Plaintiff.  It appears he went out of his way to use a number that serves no other purpose than to try to influence the court and make them believe there is a disaster.

All indications point to the dissemination of misinformation by the Governor, IDPH, and the Governor’s attorney.

Both the Judge in Clay County and the people of this state have a right to know accurate numbers as it relates to their health concerns.

One can only wonder why Illinois is reporting one thing to the NCHS and something different to the people of this once great state.

The other major number that they have yet to disclose, the number of people who have recovered.  Disclosure of those numbers would surely expose more manipulation of the real numbers of cases in Illinois.  While many counties have reported cases, several have no active cases and all have recovered but the state does not seem willing to share that information.

Stay tuned for more exposure as to why the Public Trust is rapidly evaporating in Illinois.

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